Basel vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
21.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
FCL
3 - 4
BAS
27%
24%
49%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
BAS
1 - 2
FCV
67%
19%
14%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
LUG
2 - 1
BAS
20%
23%
57%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
BAS
4 - 1
FCL
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
SER
2 - 1
BAS
26%
24%
50%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
KRI
2 - 3
SER
14%
19%
67%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
ZUR
1 - 2
SER
35%
25%
40%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
VEV
2 - 4
SER
4%
11%
84%
|
77 | 35 | 42 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
SER
1 - 1
LUG
45%
26%
30%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
SER
1 - 2
FCV
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |