Basel vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1994 |
BAS
0 - 2
FCA
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1994 |
GCZ
0 - 3
BAS
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1994 |
BAS
0 - 0
NEX
55%
24%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1994 |
STG
0 - 3
BAS
56%
24%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1994 |
BAS
0 - 0
ZUR
67%
19%
13%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1994 |
SER
3 - 1
GCZ
34%
28%
37%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1994 |
FCA
3 - 0
SER
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1994 |
SER
0 - 0
LUG
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1994 |
LAU
3 - 1
SER
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1994 |
SER
1 - 1
SIO
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |