Basel vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
32.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1987 |
STG
2 - 0
BAS
63%
21%
17%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1987 |
BEL
2 - 2
BAS
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1987 |
BAS
3 - 1
SIO
41%
24%
35%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 1987 |
GCZ
5 - 1
BAS
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1987 |
BAS
1 - 2
NEX
39%
25%
36%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1987 |
SER
2 - 1
ZUR
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1987 |
FCA
1 - 0
SER
49%
24%
28%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1987 |
SER
1 - 1
LAU
65%
19%
16%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1987 |
NEX
4 - 1
SER
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1987 |
SER
3 - 1
GCZ
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |