Basel vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
30%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1983 |
VEV
3 - 3
BAS
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1983 |
BAS
2 - 3
BEL
75%
15%
10%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1983 |
GCZ
1 - 0
BAS
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1983 |
BAS
0 - 4
NEX
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1983 |
WIN
1 - 1
BAS
29%
26%
46%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1983 |
SER
2 - 3
ZUR
57%
23%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1983 |
FCL
1 - 2
SER
24%
21%
55%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1983 |
SER
3 - 0
YOB
66%
19%
15%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1983 |
SIO
1 - 1
SER
35%
25%
40%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1983 |
SER
2 - 0
BUL
86%
10%
4%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | 0 |