Basel vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1980 |
BAS
1 - 0
CRV
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1980 |
NEX
3 - 2
BAS
31%
27%
42%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1980 |
BAS
4 - 1
SIO
79%
13%
8%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1980 |
BAS
3 - 2
LAU
77%
14%
9%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1980 |
GCZ
2 - 2
BAS
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1980 |
SER
4 - 2
CHI
79%
14%
7%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1980 |
STG
1 - 1
SER
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1980 |
SER
2 - 2
FCL
74%
14%
11%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1980 |
SER
1 - 2
ZUR
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1980 |
SER
2 - 1
SOC
59%
23%
19%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |