Basel vs Nordstern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
6.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1979 |
BAS
2 - 0
LAU
70%
18%
13%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1979 |
GCZ
2 - 1
BAS
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
BAS
1 - 0
ZUR
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
NEX
2 - 0
BAS
39%
23%
38%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
BAS
2 - 0
SIO
82%
12%
6%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Nordstern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
ZUR
5 - 0
NOB
81%
13%
6%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
NOB
1 - 2
SIO
56%
23%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
SER
4 - 0
NOB
77%
15%
7%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
NOB
2 - 1
CHI
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
STG
2 - 0
NOB
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |