Basel vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
9.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2006 |
MID
4 - 1
BAS
50%
24%
26%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
BAS
2 - 0
YOB
59%
21%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2006 |
BAS
2 - 0
MID
56%
24%
21%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
BAS
1 - 1
FCA
76%
15%
9%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
STG
2 - 2
BAS
31%
24%
45%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2006 |
NEX
2 - 0
YVE
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
YVE
2 - 1
NEX
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
FCA
3 - 1
NEX
47%
26%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
ZUR
4 - 1
NEX
68%
20%
13%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
YOB
1 - 0
NEX
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |