Basel vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
8.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2005 |
GCZ
4 - 1
BAS
37%
25%
38%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2005 |
BAS
3 - 1
STG
71%
17%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
BAS
4 - 1
THU
67%
19%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2005 |
NEX
0 - 4
BAS
26%
25%
49%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
SCH
0 - 2
BAS
16%
21%
63%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2005 |
NEX
1 - 2
GCZ
30%
25%
46%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
NEX
1 - 2
ZUR
35%
26%
39%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2005 |
STG
5 - 0
NEX
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
NEX
0 - 0
THU
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2005 |
NEX
1 - 1
FCA
51%
25%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |