Basel vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
SIO
3 - 2
BAS
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1981 |
BAS
1 - 3
LAU
76%
15%
9%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
ZUR
3 - 1
BAS
62%
20%
18%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1981 |
BAS
1 - 1
YOB
75%
15%
10%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1981 |
SER
1 - 0
BAS
56%
22%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1981 |
NEX
1 - 0
MFF
53%
23%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
NEX
1 - 0
FCL
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
MFF
0 - 1
NEX
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1981 |
FCA
0 - 3
NEX
44%
26%
31%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1981 |
NEX
3 - 0
BUL
77%
16%
8%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |