Basel vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.9%
14.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1977 |
YFJ
1 - 4
BAS
21%
27%
51%
|
79 | 48 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1977 |
BAS
4 - 0
ETO
85%
11%
4%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1977 |
CSC
2 - 0
BAS
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1977 |
BAS
1 - 4
LAU
70%
16%
15%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1977 |
SIO
4 - 1
BAS
42%
23%
35%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1977 |
NEX
0 - 1
SER
35%
23%
42%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
ZUR
1 - 1
NEX
69%
17%
14%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1977 |
YOB
1 - 1
NEX
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1977 |
NEX
2 - 1
ETO
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
CSC
3 - 1
NEX
41%
27%
33%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |