Europa League 1/16
Global 2-1
Basel vs Monaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
ZUR
1 - 1
BAS
42%
24%
34%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
BAS
3 - 4
ZUR
59%
21%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2005 |
ROM
3 - 1
BAS
52%
23%
25%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
YOB
1 - 6
BAS
41%
24%
35%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2005 |
NEX
3 - 2
BAS
24%
23%
53%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
MON
1 - 1
TRO
69%
19%
12%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2006 |
MON
0 - 1
NIC
69%
20%
11%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
REN
1 - 3
MON
32%
27%
41%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
COL
1 - 0
MON
13%
22%
65%
|
90 | 57 | 33 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
LEN
1 - 1
MON
38%
27%
35%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |