Champions League Playoffs Last 16
Global 2-5
Basel vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
57%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
THU
0 - 2
BAS
24%
23%
53%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
BAS
0 - 1
LUG
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
BAS
1 - 0
FCL
66%
20%
15%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
BAS
1 - 0
WIN
85%
11%
4%
|
84 | 51 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
BAS
2 - 4
STR
61%
21%
18%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
MAC
5 - 1
LEI
69%
18%
13%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
BUR
1 - 1
MAC
9%
18%
73%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
MAC
3 - 0
WBA
86%
10%
4%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 2
MAC
9%
17%
75%
|
91 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
BRI
2 - 3
MAC
10%
18%
72%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |