Basel vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
SIO
0 - 0
BAS
15%
20%
65%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
STG
2 - 2
BAS
31%
23%
47%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 2
YOB
44%
23%
33%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
KSC
6 - 1
BAS
19%
22%
59%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
GCZ
2 - 4
BAS
14%
20%
66%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
LUG
2 - 2
FCL
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
FCL
3 - 2
STG
29%
24%
47%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
GCZ
2 - 2
FCL
35%
26%
39%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
FCL
2 - 2
LUG
35%
25%
40%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
FCL
4 - 1
SCH
59%
21%
20%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |