Basel vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
9.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
YOB
0 - 3
BAS
47%
23%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
FCA
2 - 3
BAS
16%
21%
64%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2006 |
BAS
3 - 0
FCL
76%
15%
9%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2006 |
WIS
3 - 1
BAS
34%
23%
43%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
ZUR
3 - 2
BAS
45%
24%
31%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
FCL
2 - 0
SIO
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
FCL
2 - 1
THU
39%
27%
35%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2006 |
BAS
3 - 0
FCL
76%
15%
9%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
FCL
0 - 1
STG
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
SCH
1 - 1
FCL
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |