Basel vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 1999 |
YVE
0 - 1
BAS
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1999 |
SER
1 - 1
BAS
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1999 |
BAS
3 - 0
DEL
63%
20%
17%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 1999 |
BAS
2 - 3
HSV
31%
24%
45%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 1999 |
BAS
1 - 1
GCZ
32%
25%
43%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
FCL
2 - 1
FCA
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1999 |
ZUR
1 - 1
FCL
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1999 |
FCL
2 - 1
LAU
22%
25%
53%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 1999 |
LUG
1 - 1
FCL
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1999 |
SER
1 - 0
FCL
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |