Basel vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1994 |
SER
0 - 0
BAS
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1994 |
FCA
0 - 0
BAS
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1994 |
BAS
0 - 2
GCZ
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1994 |
NEX
1 - 0
BAS
45%
27%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 1994 |
BAS
0 - 0
STG
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1994 |
FCL
3 - 2
SIO
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1994 |
FCL
0 - 1
NEX
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1994 |
LAU
1 - 2
FCL
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1994 |
FCL
1 - 0
FCA
48%
27%
26%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 1994 |
YOB
1 - 3
FCL
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |