Basel vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 1983 |
BEL
4 - 2
BAS
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1983 |
YOB
4 - 2
BAS
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 1983 |
BAS
2 - 1
FCA
70%
18%
13%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1983 |
BAS
1 - 3
SER
47%
23%
30%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1983 |
VEV
3 - 3
BAS
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 1983 |
FCL
1 - 0
VEV
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1983 |
FCL
0 - 2
ZUR
32%
27%
41%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 1983 |
YOB
0 - 1
FCL
69%
19%
13%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1983 |
LAU
4 - 0
FCL
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1983 |
FCL
2 - 0
FCW
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |