Basel vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.6%
Win probability
3.52
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.9%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
9.9%
6.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1981 |
SER
2 - 1
BAS
51%
24%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1981 |
BAS
1 - 2
NEX
76%
15%
10%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1981 |
SIO
1 - 1
BAS
37%
25%
39%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1981 |
BAS
1 - 5
GCZ
59%
21%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
BAS
3 - 0
CHI
89%
8%
4%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1981 |
FCL
1 - 2
CHI
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1981 |
STG
5 - 4
FCL
60%
22%
19%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1981 |
FCL
1 - 1
ZUR
27%
23%
50%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1981 |
CSC
0 - 0
FCL
52%
23%
25%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
FCL
1 - 1
YOB
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |