Basel vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
ETO
2 - 0
BAS
32%
26%
43%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1998 |
BAS
0 - 0
BAD
78%
14%
8%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1998 |
BAD
3 - 1
BAS
32%
26%
42%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1998 |
BAS
3 - 1
ETO
80%
13%
7%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1998 |
LUG
0 - 0
BAS
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
LUG
2 - 0
BAD
69%
20%
11%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1998 |
ETO
0 - 1
LUG
34%
27%
39%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1998 |
LUG
3 - 0
ETO
68%
21%
12%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1998 |
BAD
1 - 2
LUG
37%
28%
36%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1998 |
LUG
0 - 0
BAS
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |