Basel vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1995 |
NEX
5 - 1
BAS
40%
28%
32%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1995 |
LUG
4 - 1
BAS
43%
28%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1995 |
BAS
5 - 0
LAU
62%
22%
17%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1995 |
FCL
2 - 1
BAS
34%
29%
37%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1995 |
BAS
1 - 0
GCZ
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1995 |
LUG
4 - 1
BAS
43%
28%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1995 |
LUG
0 - 0
FCL
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1995 |
LAU
0 - 1
LUG
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1995 |
LUG
0 - 0
NEX
47%
26%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1995 |
FCA
3 - 3
LUG
52%
26%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |