Basel vs Locarno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
13.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1992 |
BAS
1 - 0
FCM
75%
16%
9%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1992 |
FCM
0 - 2
BAS
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1992 |
LOC
3 - 0
BAS
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1992 |
BAS
3 - 3
BAD
78%
14%
7%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1992 |
BEL
2 - 1
BAS
48%
24%
28%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1992 |
LOC
0 - 0
BAD
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1992 |
BAD
1 - 1
LOC
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1992 |
LOC
3 - 0
BAS
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1992 |
FCM
5 - 2
LOC
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1992 |
LUG
1 - 0
LOC
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |