Basel vs Lausanne Sports analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
10º
1º
35
3º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
40 | 57 |
1º
|
39% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 54 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 51 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 50 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 49 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 48 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 48 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 48 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 42 |
9º
|
46% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 34 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 32 |
11º
|
54% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
79% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
97% | 62.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3% | 37.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
BAS
3 - 1
SER
41%
26%
33%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2024 |
DOR
0 - 6
BAS
3%
8%
89%
|
85 | 32 | 53 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
YVE
1 - 4
BAS
28%
23%
50%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
BAS
5 - 0
WIN
53%
24%
23%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
YOB
3 - 2
BAS
41%
24%
35%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lausanne Sports
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
LAU
1 - 0
SIO
41%
25%
34%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
WIN
1 - 0
LAU
35%
26%
39%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
LAU
1 - 0
SER
34%
25%
41%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
YVE
0 - 3
LAU
41%
26%
34%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
LAU
3 - 0
GCZ
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |