Basel vs Lausanne Sports analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
6º
12º
9º
40
6º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
BAS
2 - 2
LUG
43%
24%
33%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
YVE
0 - 2
BAS
18%
22%
60%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
GCZ
2 - 1
BAS
24%
23%
53%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 0
STG
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BAS
0 - 1
LUG
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lausanne Sports
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
LAU
1 - 1
WIN
37%
26%
38%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
LAU
3 - 1
YVE
40%
26%
35%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
STA
1 - 1
LAU
42%
25%
33%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
LAU
0 - 1
YOB
18%
23%
59%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
ZUR
2 - 2
LAU
70%
18%
12%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |