Champions League 1/16
Global 4-5
Basel vs Hvidovre IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.4%
14.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1966 |
BAS
2 - 2
VVD
53%
20%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1966 |
VVD
2 - 1
BAS
55%
19%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1965 |
VCF
5 - 1
BAS
82%
12%
7%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1965 |
BAS
1 - 3
VCF
40%
26%
35%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1964 |
STR
5 - 2
BAS
58%
21%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Hvidovre IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1966 |
HVI
2 - 2
EIN
23%
22%
55%
|
55 | 84 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1966 |
EIN
5 - 1
HVI
84%
10%
5%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | -1 |