Basel vs Grasshopper analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
21.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
GCZ
1 - 0
BAS
45%
23%
32%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2003 |
BAS
2 - 3
NEW
48%
23%
29%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
SER
1 - 2
BAS
36%
24%
40%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
BAS
2 - 0
THU
77%
14%
8%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
FCA
2 - 2
BAS
29%
24%
48%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Grasshopper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
GCZ
1 - 0
BAS
45%
23%
32%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
GCZ
5 - 2
STG
60%
21%
20%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
ZUR
0 - 2
GCZ
31%
24%
45%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
SER
3 - 2
GCZ
45%
23%
32%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
FCL
0 - 4
GCZ
23%
24%
53%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |