Basel vs Grasshopper analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
FCL
2 - 0
BAS
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
BAS
0 - 1
SER
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1979 |
LAC
1 - 1
BAS
30%
27%
43%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 1979 |
BAS
2 - 1
SIO
76%
15%
9%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 1979 |
BAS
1 - 4
SER
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Grasshopper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
LUG
0 - 2
GCZ
27%
23%
50%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
GCZ
5 - 0
LAC
82%
13%
5%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1979 |
SIO
2 - 1
GCZ
31%
28%
41%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1979 |
GCZ
5 - 0
FCL
71%
16%
13%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1979 |
GCZ
0 - 0
YOB
66%
20%
15%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |