Q. Europa League Ronda previa Final
Global 12-1
Basel vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
11.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
SER
1 - 1
BAS
51%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2000 |
BAS
2 - 3
LUG
57%
23%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2000 |
FOL
1 - 5
BAS
38%
25%
37%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2000 |
YVE
1 - 0
BAS
31%
27%
42%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2000 |
BAS
1 - 0
GCZ
38%
25%
38%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2000 |
FOL
1 - 5
BAS
38%
25%
37%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2000 |
FOL
3 - 1
DOM
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
FIO
2 - 3
FOL
26%
25%
49%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2000 |
FOL
0 - 0
COS
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2000 |
FOL
1 - 0
VIR
57%
22%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |