Basel vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
41.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
STG
2 - 1
BAS
19%
22%
59%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
BAS
2 - 3
GCZ
56%
22%
22%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2015 |
BEL
0 - 2
BAS
23%
23%
54%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
FCV
1 - 2
BAS
21%
22%
58%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
MUT
1 - 5
BAS
4%
10%
86%
|
84 | 22 | 62 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
FIO
2 - 2
EMP
74%
17%
9%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SAM
0 - 2
FIO
31%
26%
43%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2015 |
LPO
0 - 2
FIO
18%
24%
58%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
FIO
4 - 1
FRO
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
VER
0 - 2
FIO
27%
25%
48%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |