Basel vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
ZUR
0 - 1
BAS
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1999 |
BAS
3 - 3
LAU
32%
25%
44%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
FCL
3 - 0
BAS
38%
27%
36%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
BAS
0 - 0
SER
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
DEL
2 - 2
BAS
33%
26%
41%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
FCA
0 - 2
LUG
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
FCA
1 - 1
ZUR
34%
26%
40%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
LAU
3 - 1
FCA
75%
16%
9%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
FCA
1 - 0
FCL
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
SER
1 - 1
FCA
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |