Basel vs Etoile Carouge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 1997 |
LAU
3 - 0
BAS
59%
23%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1997 |
ZUR
1 - 1
BAS
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -3 |
| 31 May. 1997 |
BAS
3 - 2
FCA
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1997 |
SIO
1 - 0
BAS
70%
19%
12%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1997 |
BAS
1 - 3
NEX
32%
26%
42%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 1997 |
ETO
1 - 3
ZUR
39%
28%
34%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1997 |
LAU
2 - 2
ETO
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1997 |
SOL
0 - 1
ETO
38%
28%
35%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1997 |
ETO
0 - 1
FCL
29%
26%
45%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1997 |
SER
0 - 1
ETO
69%
19%
11%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |