Basel vs Etoile Carouge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.9%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.7%
4.3%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1977 |
CSC
2 - 0
BAS
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1977 |
BAS
1 - 4
LAU
70%
16%
15%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1977 |
SIO
4 - 1
BAS
42%
23%
35%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1977 |
BAS
4 - 2
STG
77%
15%
9%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1977 |
BAS
0 - 0
YOB
78%
13%
9%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1977 |
ETO
2 - 2
SER
17%
24%
59%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1977 |
NEX
2 - 1
ETO
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1977 |
ETO
3 - 0
YFJ
72%
16%
12%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1977 |
YOB
2 - 2
ETO
75%
17%
8%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1977 |
CSC
1 - 0
ETO
71%
19%
11%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |