Basel vs Egypt U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.2%
Win probability
3.41
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
4.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.8%
5-0
8.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.5%
4-0
12.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.2%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
6.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6.6%
2.1%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
BYM
7 - 0
BAS
73%
16%
10%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
GCZ
0 - 2
BAS
23%
23%
54%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BAS
3 - 1
FCL
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 0
ZUR
58%
21%
21%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 0
BYM
20%
21%
59%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Egypt U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
ESP
3 - 1
EGY
56%
22%
23%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
ROU
1 - 1
EGY
58%
23%
20%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
JPN
2 - 1
EGY
60%
21%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1992 |
COL
3 - 4
EGY
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Jul. 1992 |
ESP
2 - 0
EGY
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |