Q. Europa League Play Offs Final
Global 8-2
Basel vs Diyarbakirspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
NEX
2 - 2
BAS
28%
24%
48%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2009 |
DIY
1 - 3
BAS
21%
23%
56%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
GCZ
3 - 1
BAS
33%
25%
42%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 1
ZUR
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2009 |
BAS
3 - 1
KRR
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Diyarbakirspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2009 |
DIY
1 - 3
FEN
21%
27%
53%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2009 |
DIY
1 - 3
BAS
21%
23%
56%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
TRA
1 - 2
DIY
75%
17%
8%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
DIY
2 - 2
ANK
45%
28%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2009 |
DIY
2 - 0
GFK
58%
24%
19%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |