Basel vs CS Chênois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1978 |
SER
6 - 0
BAS
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1978 |
NOB
1 - 1
BAS
27%
26%
47%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1978 |
BAS
2 - 2
YOB
73%
16%
10%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1978 |
CHI
2 - 1
BAS
25%
27%
48%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1978 |
GCZ
4 - 2
BAS
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CS Chênois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1978 |
YOB
1 - 0
CSC
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1978 |
CSC
3 - 0
ZUR
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 1978 |
CSC
1 - 1
NOB
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1978 |
LAU
1 - 4
CSC
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1978 |
CSC
0 - 0
STG
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |