Basel vs Chiasso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
5.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1983 |
ZUR
2 - 1
BAS
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1983 |
BAS
5 - 2
VEV
76%
15%
9%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1983 |
NEX
2 - 0
BAS
61%
21%
19%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1983 |
BAS
2 - 0
YOB
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1983 |
STG
4 - 2
BAS
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1983 |
CHI
0 - 3
SER
20%
26%
54%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1983 |
LAU
7 - 2
CHI
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1983 |
FCA
3 - 1
CHI
69%
19%
13%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1983 |
CHI
2 - 1
BEL
45%
26%
30%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1983 |
ZUR
5 - 1
CHI
81%
13%
6%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | -1 |