Basel vs Chiasso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.1%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
10%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.1%
3.8%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
FCL
2 - 2
BAS
28%
23%
49%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
GCZ
3 - 0
BAS
57%
23%
21%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
BAS
5 - 2
STG
74%
16%
10%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1981 |
BEL
1 - 1
BAS
16%
24%
60%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1981 |
BAS
1 - 1
NEX
67%
18%
15%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1982 |
CHI
0 - 6
GCZ
16%
22%
63%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1981 |
CHI
0 - 1
SIO
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
NEX
5 - 0
CHI
71%
19%
11%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
CHI
0 - 2
YOB
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1981 |
NOB
0 - 3
CHI
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |