Basel vs Chiasso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.4%
Win probability
3.75
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.2%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.2%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.6%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.7%
7.5%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
7.5%
3.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1981 |
STG
1 - 2
BAS
39%
25%
36%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
BAS
2 - 0
ZUR
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
CSC
2 - 2
BAS
33%
26%
41%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1981 |
BAS
2 - 2
YOB
77%
14%
9%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1980 |
NOB
1 - 2
BAS
13%
23%
65%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | +1 |
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1981 |
CHI
0 - 0
GCZ
17%
21%
62%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
CHI
1 - 2
STG
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
ZUR
4 - 1
CHI
86%
9%
5%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1981 |
CHI
0 - 0
CSC
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1981 |
LAU
0 - 1
CHI
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |