Basel vs Chiasso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.3%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.4%
5.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
BAS
4 - 2
STG
75%
16%
10%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1978 |
LAU
0 - 1
BAS
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1978 |
BAS
3 - 2
GCZ
54%
23%
24%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
STU
4 - 1
BAS
65%
18%
17%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
ZUR
1 - 1
BAS
59%
22%
20%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1978 |
CHI
1 - 1
GCZ
18%
25%
57%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1978 |
NEX
4 - 2
CHI
69%
19%
11%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1978 |
CHI
0 - 2
CSC
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
YOB
2 - 0
CHI
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1978 |
CHI
2 - 2
NOB
49%
25%
25%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |