Basel vs Young Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
25.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1976 |
BAS
6 - 1
WIN
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1976 |
LAU
0 - 1
BAS
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 1976 |
BAS
4 - 1
CSC
82%
13%
5%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
ATM
1 - 1
BAS
80%
13%
7%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
BAS
1 - 2
ATM
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Young Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1976 |
YOB
2 - 0
LAU
65%
21%
15%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1976 |
CSC
4 - 4
YOB
29%
28%
43%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 1976 |
YOB
1 - 0
GCZ
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
HSV
4 - 2
YOB
74%
16%
10%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
YOB
0 - 0
HSV
41%
25%
34%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |