Basel vs Baden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
7.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1992 |
BEL
2 - 1
BAS
48%
24%
28%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
BAS
2 - 2
LUG
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1992 |
FCA
0 - 0
BAS
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1992 |
BAS
1 - 1
YVE
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1987 |
BAS
1 - 4
YOB
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +7 |
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1992 |
FCA
0 - 0
BAD
72%
19%
10%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
BAD
0 - 0
YVE
37%
28%
36%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1992 |
BEL
1 - 3
BAD
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | +2 |
| 29 Feb. 1992 |
BAD
0 - 2
LUG
27%
29%
44%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1986 |
SER
1 - 1
BAD
85%
11%
4%
|
45 | 80 | 35 | +6 |