Champions League Last 16
Global 1-5
Basel vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
52.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1970 |
AJA
3 - 0
BAS
88%
8%
4%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1970 |
BAS
2 - 1
SPA
28%
22%
50%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
SPA
3 - 2
BAS
78%
13%
9%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1969 |
CEL
2 - 0
BAS
81%
12%
7%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1969 |
BAS
0 - 0
CEL
22%
20%
58%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1970 |
AJA
1 - 0
PSV
79%
13%
7%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1970 |
TWE
1 - 0
AJA
30%
25%
45%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1970 |
AJA
3 - 0
BAS
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1970 |
AJA
2 - 2
SPA
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1970 |
EXC
1 - 1
AJA
20%
20%
61%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |