Basel vs AC Bellinzona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
GCZ
4 - 0
BAS
33%
25%
42%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
BAS
5 - 0
FCL
73%
16%
11%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
BAS
3 - 2
STG
68%
18%
14%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
ZUR
1 - 2
BAS
36%
25%
40%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
KRI
0 - 1
BAS
9%
17%
74%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
BEL
2 - 1
SIO
31%
26%
44%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
NEX
2 - 0
BEL
64%
20%
15%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
BEL
1 - 4
ZUR
20%
23%
57%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
YOB
2 - 1
BEL
79%
14%
7%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
BEL
1 - 2
GCZ
26%
25%
50%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |