Basel vs AC Bellinzona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
13.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1992 |
BAD
2 - 1
BAS
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1992 |
BAS
2 - 2
LOC
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1992 |
BAS
1 - 0
FCM
75%
16%
9%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1992 |
FCM
0 - 2
BAS
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1992 |
LOC
3 - 0
BAS
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1992 |
YVE
2 - 1
BEL
59%
23%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1992 |
BEL
2 - 3
FCA
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1992 |
LUG
2 - 1
BEL
66%
20%
13%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1992 |
BEL
0 - 0
LUG
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1992 |
FCA
2 - 0
BEL
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |