Basel vs AC Bellinzona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1987 |
SIO
3 - 1
BAS
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1987 |
BAS
0 - 1
GCZ
26%
26%
49%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1987 |
NEX
9 - 1
BAS
72%
17%
11%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 1987 |
BAS
1 - 2
LAU
53%
22%
25%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -2 |
| 08 Aug. 1987 |
FCA
2 - 0
BAS
65%
19%
16%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1987 |
BEL
1 - 2
ZUR
34%
25%
41%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1987 |
FCL
1 - 1
BEL
68%
19%
14%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1987 |
BEL
0 - 2
YOB
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 1987 |
STG
2 - 0
BEL
68%
18%
13%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -2 |
| 08 Aug. 1987 |
BEL
1 - 1
SER
19%
26%
55%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |