Basel vs AC Bellinzona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1977 |
SIO
0 - 0
BAS
51%
22%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1977 |
BAS
4 - 2
STG
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
SER
2 - 2
BAS
61%
19%
20%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1977 |
BAS
1 - 3
ZUR
50%
22%
28%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
BEL
1 - 2
BAS
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1977 |
BEL
1 - 0
LAU
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
CSC
2 - 1
BEL
56%
22%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
BEL
1 - 3
GCZ
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1977 |
NEX
5 - 0
BEL
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
BEL
1 - 2
BAS
36%
27%
37%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |