FC Basel II vs AC Bellinzona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
29.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Basel II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
STA
4 - 5
BAS
43%
25%
33%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
BAS
2 - 3
BAV
60%
21%
19%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
BLA
3 - 2
BAS
47%
23%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
RAP
1 - 2
BAS
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
BAS
5 - 0
SCB
55%
22%
23%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
BEL
1 - 0
BIE
40%
25%
35%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
CHI
2 - 1
BEL
41%
25%
34%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
BEL
2 - 0
YOU
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
FCP
0 - 2
BEL
15%
17%
68%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
BEL
1 - 0
LUG
10%
17%
73%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | +1 |