Base Vilobi 2015 vs UE Vic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
39.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Base Vilobi 2015
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
BVI
3 - 1
ABD
30%
21%
50%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BVI
2 - 2
CAN
20%
18%
63%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
RCE
0 - 4
BVI
25%
21%
54%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
BVI
0 - 0
CAG
61%
19%
20%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
BMA
2 - 2
BVI
44%
22%
34%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
UE Vic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
VIC
2 - 3
BAN
68%
20%
13%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
CFL
0 - 1
VIC
54%
22%
24%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
VIC
0 - 1
PAR
52%
23%
25%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
VIC
0 - 1
PAL
46%
24%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 2
VIC
34%
25%
41%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |