CD Basconia vs SD Erandio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
11.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
BAS
2 - 2
LEM
87%
10%
3%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
ZAL
1 - 1
BAS
38%
28%
34%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
BAS
2 - 0
AFT
83%
12%
5%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1986 |
BAS
7 - 0
POR
75%
17%
9%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
BKE
0 - 2
BAS
22%
28%
50%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
SD Erandio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
ARE
0 - 0
SDE
46%
26%
28%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
SDE
1 - 1
ALA
29%
32%
40%
|
24 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
AUR
3 - 0
SDE
32%
27%
42%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -3 |
| 18 May. 1986 |
SDE
2 - 0
HER
73%
17%
10%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
SFC
2 - 3
SDE
43%
26%
31%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |