CD Basconia vs Real Unión Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
15.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
CDO
1 - 1
BAS
72%
19%
9%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
UES
3 - 0
BAS
80%
13%
7%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
BAS
0 - 3
TUD
60%
24%
16%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
CUL
2 - 0
BAS
74%
17%
9%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
BAS
1 - 0
UES
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Real Unión Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
RUN
2 - 1
SSC
43%
29%
29%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
RUN
4 - 0
ACF
79%
13%
8%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
CFP
0 - 0
RUN
64%
23%
13%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
RUN
2 - 2
HUE
50%
29%
21%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
ACF
2 - 1
RUN
31%
23%
46%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | -1 |