CD Basconia vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
21.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1959 |
BAS
0 - 0
CDO
72%
17%
12%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1959 |
DEP
2 - 0
BAS
71%
17%
12%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1959 |
BAS
3 - 1
AVI
57%
22%
21%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1959 |
SDI
5 - 1
BAS
70%
17%
13%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
BAS
1 - 1
TER
58%
22%
20%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1959 |
CEU
0 - 0
MUR
54%
24%
23%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1959 |
MUR
1 - 1
EXT
69%
18%
13%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1959 |
LEV
2 - 0
MUR
69%
18%
13%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1959 |
MUR
1 - 0
SFE
63%
20%
17%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
PUL
2 - 2
MUR
64%
20%
16%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |